Femtocells have the whiff of 'if' not 'when'
There’s a discussion on Mobile Innovation about ‘When will Femtocells go Mass Market?’
We think it’s now ‘if’, not when:
- the market in the developed world is moving to smartphones
- substantially all smartphones will have WiFi
- WiFi is already pervasive in the enterprise
- WiFi is widespread in the home
So, who needs the extra cost and expense of a femtocell, when the WiFi infrastructure is already there? Vodafone is asking £160 (= US$265, €183) for its femtocell, the Vodafone Access Gateway:

Vodafone Access Gateway
A Belkin N150 Enhanced Wireless Router for BT is just £70 ( = US$117, €80) – less than half as much:

Belkin N150 Enhanced Wireless Router
Part of the discussion was triggered by a new report from Juniper Research, which puts the numbers at just 15 million worldwide by 2012. That’s hardly mass market: it’s much less than 1% of subscribers in the developed world. It’s not enough to put any sort of dent in the smartphone surge shortfall.
So for femtocells, it’s becoming if, not when…

[...] But Endeavour Partners thinks the data problem will be solved with WiFi, not femtocells. [...]